Negligible Risk Of The COVID-19 Resurgence Caused By Work Resuming In China (Outside Hubei): A Statistical Probability Study

Journal of Public Health

Zhao, Kedong; Long, Cheng; Wang, Yan; Zeng, Tieyong; Fu, Xinmiao

Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.

Keywords

Clinical aspects, diagnosis, treatment